Spatially resolved simulations of the spread of COVID-19 in three European countries

We explore the spatial and temporal spread of the novel SARS-CoV-2 virus under containment measures in three European countries based on fits to data of the early outbreak. Using data from Spain and Italy, we estimate an age dependent infection fatality ratio for SARS-CoV-2, as well as risks of hospitalization and intensive care admission. We use them in a model that simulates the dynamics of the virus using an age structured, spatially detailed agent based approach, that explicitly incorporates governmental interventions and changes in mobility and contact patterns occurred during the COVID-19 outbreak in each country. Our simulations reproduce several of the features of its spatio-temporal spread in the three countries studied. They show that containment measures combined with high density are responsible for the containment of cases within densely populated areas, and that spread to less densely populated areas occurred during the late stages of the first wave. The capability to reproduce observed features of the spatio-temporal dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 makes this model a potential candidate for forecasting the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in other settings, and we recommend its application in low and lower-middle income countries which remain understudied.     

Characterization of endocrine gland-derived vascular endothelial growth factor signaling in adrenal cortex capillary endothelial cells.

Endocrine gland-derived vascular endothelial growth factor (EG-VEGF) has been recently identified as a mitogen specific for the endothelium of steroidogenic glands. Here we report a characterization of the signal transduction of EG-VEGF in a responsive cell type, bovine adrenal cortex-derived endothelial (ACE) cells. EG-VEGF led to a time- and dose-dependent phosphorylation of p44/42 MAPK. This effect was blocked by pretreatment with pertussis toxin, suggesting that G alpha(i) plays an important role in mediating EG-VEGF-induced activation of MAPK signaling. The inhibitor of p44/42 MAPK phosphorylation PD 98059 resulted in suppression of both proliferation and migration in response to EG-VEGF. EG-VEGF also increased the phosphorylation of Akt in a phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase-dependent manner. Consistent with such an effect, EG-VEGF was a potent survival factor for ACE cells. We also identified endothelial nitric-oxide synthase as one of the downstream targets of Akt activation. Phosphorylation of endothelial nitric-oxide synthase in ACE cells was stimulated by EG-VEGF with a time course correlated to the Akt phosphorylation. Our data demonstrate that EG-VEGF, possibly through binding to a G-protein coupled receptor, results in the activation of MAPK p44/42 and phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase signaling pathways, leading to proliferation, migration, and survival of responsive endothelial cells.     

Effect of Temperature on Rates of Alternative and Cytochrome Pathway Respiration and Their Relationship with the Redox Poise of the Quinone Pool

We investigated the effect of short-term changes in temperature on alternative (Alt) and cytochrome (Cyt) pathway respiration, both in intact tissues and isolated mitochondria of 14-d-old cotyledons of soybean (Glycine max L. cv Stevens). We also established the extent to which temperature alters the interaction between the oxidizing pathways and the level of ubiquinone (UQ) reduction (UQ(r)/UQ(t)). No difference was found between the temperature coefficient of respiration (Q(10); proportional change per 10 degrees C) of Alt and Cyt pathway respiration in cotyledon slices (Q(10) = 1.92 and 1.86, respectively). In isolated mitochondria, the Q(10) of the fully activated Alt pathway (Q(10) = 2.24-2.61) was always equal to, or higher than, that of Cyt c oxidase (COX) alone (Q(10) = 2.08) and the complete Cyt pathway (Q(10) = 2.40-2.55). This was true regardless of substrate or whether ADP was present. There was little difference in the Q(10) of the Cyt pathway with or without ADP; however, the Q(10) of COX was substantially lower in the presence of an uncoupler (Q(10) = 1.61) than its absence (Q(10) = 2.08). The kinetics of Alt and Cyt pathway activity in relation to UQ(r)/UQ(t) were not affected by temperature. For a given UQ(r)/UQ(t) value, the proportion of maximum flux taking place was similar at all temperatures for both pathways (+/-ADP). However, the Q(10) of the Alt and the Cyt pathways (+ADP) increased with increasing UQ(r)/UQ(t). We conclude that the Alt pathway is not less temperature sensitive than the Cyt pathway or COX per se and that changes in the degree of control exerted by individual steps in the respiratory apparatus could result in changes in the Q(10) of mitochondrial O(2) uptake.     

Variation of DNA fingerprints among accessions within maize inbred lines and implications for identification of essentially derived varieties.

Genetic distances (GDs) based on molecular markers are important parameters for identifying essentially derived varieties (EDVs). In this context information about the variability of molecular markers within maize inbred lines is essential. Our objectives were to (1) determine the variation in the size of simple sequence repeat (SSR) fragments among different accessions of maize inbreds and doubled haploid (DH) lines, (2) attribute the observed variation to genetic and marker system-specific sources, and (3) investigate the effect of SSR fragment size differences within maize lines on the GD between maize lines and their consequences for the identification of essentially derived varieties. Two to five accessions from nine inbred lines and five DH lines were taken from different sources or drawn as independent samples from the same seed lot. Each accession was genotyped with 100 SSR markers that evenly covered the whole maize genome. In total, 437 SSR fragments were identified, with a mean of 4.4 alleles per locus. The average polymorphic information content (PIC) was 0.58. GD estimates between two accessions of the same genotype ranged from 0.00 to 0.12 with an average of 0.029 for inbred lines and 0.001 for DH lines. An average of 11.1 SSRs was polymorphic between accessions of the same inbred line due to non-amplification (8.1 SSRs), heterogeneity (4.0 SSRs) or unknown alleles (2.6 SSRs). In contrast to lab errors, heterogeneity contributed considerably to the observed variation for GD. In order to decrease the probability to be suited for infringing an EDV threshold by chance, we recommend to increase the level of homogeneity of inbred lines before applying for plant variety protection.     

Escherichia coli Division Inhibitor MinCD Blocks Septation by Preventing Z-Ring Formation

The min system spatially regulates division through the topological regulation of MinCD, an inhibitor of cell division. MinCD was previously shown to inhibit division by preventing assembly of the Z ring (E. Bi and J. Lutkenhaus, J. Bacteriol. 175:1118-1125, 1993); however, this was questioned in a recent report (S. S. Justice, J. Garcia-Lara, and L. I. Rothfield, Mol. Microbiol. 37:410-423, 2000) which indicated that MinCD acted after Z-ring formation and prevented the recruitment of FtsA to the Z ring. This discrepancy was due in part to alternative fixation conditions. We have therefore reinvestigated the action of MinCD and avoided fixation by using green fluorescent protein (GFP) fusions to division proteins. MinCD prevented the localization of both FtsZ-GFP and ZipA-GFP, consistent with it preventing Z-ring assembly. Consistent with a direct interaction between FtsZ and the MinCD inhibitor, we find that increased FtsZ, but not FtsA, suppresses MinCD-induced lethality. Furthermore, strains carrying various alleles of ftsZ, selected on the basis of resistance to the inhibitor SulA, displayed variable resistance to MinCD. These results are consistent with FtsZ as the target of MinCD and confirm that this inhibitor prevents Z-ring assembly.     

Multilocus Sequence Typing Confirms Wild Birds as the Source of a Campylobacter Outbreak Associated with the Consumption of Raw Peas

From August to September 2008, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) assisted the Alaska Division of Public Health with an outbreak investigation of campylobacteriosis occurring among the residents of Southcentral Alaska. During the investigation, pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) of Campylobacter jejuni isolates from human, raw pea, and wild bird fecal samples confirmed the epidemiologic link between illness and the consumption of raw peas contaminated by sandhill cranes for 15 of 43 epidemiologically linked human isolates. However, an association between the remaining epidemiologically linked human infections and the pea and wild bird isolates was not established. To better understand the molecular epidemiology of the outbreak, C. jejuni isolates (n = 130; 59 from humans, 40 from peas, and 31 from wild birds) were further characterized by multilocus sequence typing (MLST). Here we present the molecular evidence to demonstrate the association of many more human C. jejuni infections associated with the outbreak with raw peas and wild bird feces. Among all sequence types (STs) identified, 26 of 39 (67%) were novel and exclusive to the outbreak. Five clusters of overlapping STs (n = 32 isolates; 17 from humans, 2 from peas, and 13 from wild birds) were identified. In particular, cluster E (n = 7 isolates; ST-5049) consisted of isolates from humans, peas, and wild birds. Novel STs clustered closely with isolates typically associated with wild birds and the environment but distinct from lineages commonly seen in human infections. Novel STs and alleles recovered from human outbreak isolates allowed additional infections caused by these rare genotypes to be attributed to the contaminated raw peas.